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Analysis: Nepal probe panel lifts travel ban on ex-PM Oli

Nepal Lifts Travel Ban on Former PM Oli: Implications for the Region

Nepal Lifts Travel Ban on Former PM Oli: A Significant Move Towards Political Stability

A recent decision by the inquiry commission in Nepal to lift the travel ban on former Prime Minister K P Sharma Oli marks a significant step towards political stability in the country. The move comes after Oli cooperated with the commission and provided his statement regarding incidents during the Gen-Z movement protests in September 2025.

The Gen-Z Protests and Their Impact

The Gen-Z protests, which led to widespread violence and political upheaval, have contributed to changes in Nepal's political landscape. The protests, which saw the death of 77 people and the damage of public and private property worth over NPR 84 billion, have been a subject of intense scrutiny by the inquiry commission.

  • The commission's inquiry work related to the events has been completed, removing the justification for restricting Oli's movement.
  • Last week, former Home Minister Ramesh Lekhak testified that he did not issue any orders to open fire on protesters.
  • Statements from other senior security and administrative officials have already been collected.

The Broader Indian Context

The political landscape of Nepal has direct implications for its neighbor, India. Given the shared history and cultural ties between the two countries, any political instability in Nepal can spill over into India. The lifting of travel restrictions on Oli and the focus on organizing elections for the House of Representatives scheduled for March 5, 2026, is a positive sign for the region.

Communal Tensions in Birgunj

In a separate development, Nepal authorities imposed prohibitory orders in parts of Birgunj, a town bordering India, amid rising communal tensions and fears of clashes. The move follows violent protests on Sunday over a social media video with alleged religious content, which saw demonstrators burn tires and vandalize a local police post.

Looking Forward: Nepal's Road to Political Stability

The lifting of travel restrictions on Oli signals a step toward concluding the commission's inquiry and allowing former leaders to resume normal activities while the country prepares for the upcoming elections. The interim government, led by former Chief Justice Sushila Karki, is now focused on organizing elections for the House of Representatives scheduled for March 5, 2026.

The upcoming elections will be a test of Nepal's political stability and its ability to move forward from the Gen-Z protests. It is crucial for the country to ensure free and fair elections and to address the underlying issues that led to the protests in the first place.