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Analysis: Will Congress in Bihar head the West Bengal way soon, with no Assembly representation?

Congress in Bihar: On the Brink of Collapse?

Congress in Bihar: On the Brink of Collapse?

In a worrying development for the Indian National Congress, reports suggest that the party may lose its entire legislative presence in Bihar, mirroring its situation in West Bengal. This development has significant implications for the political landscape of Northeast India and the broader Indian context.

Speculations of Defections

The Congress party in Bihar is grappling with the possibility of its six MLAs defecting to the ruling National Democratic Alliance (NDA). Absences from party events and overtures from the NDA have fuelled speculation. The most recent instance was the absence of all six Congress MLAs at a crucial party meeting and the traditional dahi-chura feast hosted by the state Congress unit.

Rumours and Counter-Narratives

While the Congress leadership denies the rumours, Public Health Engineering Department minister Sanjay Kumar of the Lok Janshakti Party-Ram Vilas claimed that all six Congress legislators are in touch with the ruling NDA and will cross over after Makar Sankranti. However, State Congress President Rajesh Ram insisted the MLAs remain loyal and accused the NDA of spreading misinformation.

Implications for the Opposition and Bihar Politics

If the defections occur, the Congress would lose its entire legislative presence in Bihar, marking its collapse in the state. This would further weaken the Opposition bloc of Mahagathbandhan, already marginalised in the Assembly election. The Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), the largest opposition party, would lose its ally's legislative support. For Nitish Kumar and the NDA, such defections would be a political coup, further cementing their dominance.

Connection to Northeast India and India

The Congress's potential collapse in Bihar has broader implications for the political landscape of India. The Congress has been a significant player in Northeast India, and its decline could create a power vacuum that other parties might exploit. This could have far-reaching consequences for the region, especially in states like West Bengal, where the Congress currently has no representation in the Assembly despite ruling the state earlier.

Reflections and Future Outlook

The Congress's central leadership has denied any imminent defections, but insiders admit morale is low after the electoral rout. The party, already reduced to a marginal force in several states, now faces the prospect of losing its entire legislative presence in Bihar. This situation underscores the urgent need for the Congress to rethink its strategy and rebuild its grassroots support.